01505 1 MANITOBA CLEAN ENVIRONMENT COMMISSION 2 3 4 5 6 7 RED RIVER FLOODWAY EXPANSION PROJECT 8 9 10 11 12 ======================================= 13 WEDNESDAY, February 23, 2005 14 Oakbank United Church 15 Oakbank, Manitoba 16 ======================================== 17 18 Volume 7 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 01506 1 APPEARANCES: 2 Clean Environment Commission: 3 Mr. Terry Sargeant - Chairman Mr. Barrie Webster - Member 4 Mr. Wayne Motheral - Member Mr. Doug Abra - Counsel 5 Mr. Dave Farlinger - Technical consultant Ms. Cathy Johnson - Secretary to Commission 6 Ms. Joyce Mueller - Secretary 7 Manitoba Conservation: 8 Mr. Trent Hreno - Chair, Project Admin Team Mr. Bruce Webb - Chair, Tech Advisory 9 Committee Mr. Stewart Pierce - Counsel 10 11 Manitoba Floodway Authority: 12 Mr. Rick Handlon - Counsel Mr. Jim Thomson 13 Mr. Doug McNeil Mr. Doug Peterson 14 Mr. Cam Osler - Intergroup Consulting Mr. John Osler - Intergroup Consulting 15 Mr. David Morgan - TetrES Consulting Mr. George Rempel - TetrES Consulting 16 Mr. Robert Sinclair - KGS Ms. Marci Friedman-Hamm - KGS 17 18 Participants: 19 Mr. Bob Starr - Ritchot Concerned Citizens Mr. Bob Bodnaruk - RM of Springfield 20 Mr. Steve Strang - RM of St. Clements Mr. Orvel Currie - Counsel to Municipalities 21 Mr. Doug Chorney - Coalition for Flood Protection North 22 Mr. Kerry McLuhan - Coalition for Flood Protection North 23 Mr. Rob Loudfoot - 768 Association Mr. Y. Shumuk - 768 Association 24 Paul Clifton - Paul Clifton Mr. Jeff Frank - Rivers West 25 Gaile Whelan Enns - Manitoba Wildlands Earl Stevenson - Peguis Indian Band 01507 1 Participants: (continued) 2 3 Mr. Jake Buhler - Cooks Creek Conservation Mr. Lloyd Crooks - Cooks Creek Conservation 4 Mr. Jon Stefanson - Cooks Creek Conservation Mr. Daryl Chicoine - Counsel 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 01508 1 INDEX OF PROCEEDINGS 2 Presentation by Municipalities (Wayne Clifton) 1514 3 Cross-examination of Municipalities 4 (Wayne Clifton) Cross-examination by MFA 1562 5 Questions by Panel 1649 6 Evening Presentations: 7 Mr. Bob Galoway 1673 Mr. Karl Pohl 1675 8 Mr. Myron Gavaga 1687 Mr. David Grant 1694 9 Mr. Hugh Arklie 1704 Mr. Bob Bodnaruk 1710 10 Mr. Randy Znamirowski 1728 Mr. Norman Traverse 1737 11 Mr. Bruce Allen 1740 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 01509 1 INDEX OF EXHIBITS 2 60 Presentation of Mr. Wayne Clifton 1562 3 61 Karl Pohl's presentation to the 1686 Clean Environment Commission 4 5 62 Letter from Mr. Galoway 1727 6 63 Mr. Grant's presentation 1728 7 8 64 Mr. Bodnaruk's presentation 1728 9 65 Mr. Arklie's presentation 1749 10 11 66 Mr. Znamirowski's presentation 1749 12 67 Mr. Traverse's presentation 1749 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 01510 1 INDEX OF UNDERTAKINGS 2 UNDERTAKING NO. PAGE 3 4 5 2 Provided by Wayne Clifton - Provide 1624 working papers re hydraulic 6 conductivity, boundary conditions, calibration points, calibration, 7 sensitivity, and floodway staging) 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 01511 1 WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 23, 2005 2 UPON COMMENCING AT 1:00 P.M. 3 4 THE CHAIRMAN: Could we come to order, 5 please. Order please. Welcome back. We are 6 ready to proceed with today's proceedings. 7 First on the agenda today is a 8 response to an undertaking by Mr. John Osler on 9 behalf of the Floodway Authority. Mr. Osler? 10 MR. J. OSLER: Good afternoon. I had 11 an undertaking coming from page 1153, lines two to 12 six of the transcript, in which Mr. Stinson 13 requests. 14 "Could the breaches in the aquifer be 15 sealed prior to continuing on with the 16 expansion of the floodway?" 17 Acknowledge those are the general terms and they 18 are not verbatim. And the discussion was could we 19 find the exact quote. 20 We went back and took a look at the 21 meetings notes that came out of rounds one, two 22 and three, could not find a direct reference to 23 that particular quote, although I direct the 24 Commission and others to the round three issues 25 identification summary that's found on page 3D, 01512 1 that's appendix 3D, 156 and 157 of the EIS filing, 2 where there were three particular references. And 3 that's issue number 9.16.200, and they materialize 4 in the round three identification summary as 5 issues 300, 301 and 324, which were all issues 6 raised about groundwater quality and groundwater 7 intrusion. 8 Mr. Stinson also provided the EA study 9 team with two sets of questions on March 5, 2004, 10 and also on March 22, 2004, in which he talks 11 about the potential for breaching in the floodway 12 channel. 13 The important point here is that 14 Mr. Stinson's involvement in the process, and 15 others like him, helped to identify the issues 16 early in the process, and subsequently they were 17 able to be integrated in the project design phase. 18 And as we talked about at some time over the last 19 couple of weeks, the key issue here is that the 20 design of the channel itself was altered to 21 accommodate this and other concerns related to 22 groundwater. 23 I believe that completes that part of 24 the undertaking. If there is any further 25 questions from the Commission or Mr. Stinson, I 01513 1 would be welcome to entertain them. 2 THE CHAIRMAN: Thank you, Mr. Osler. 3 We will now turn to the main item of 4 business for this afternoon, and that is further 5 presentation on behalf of the Coalition for Flood 6 Protection North of the Floodway, and I would turn 7 it over to Mr. Currie, ask him to introduce his 8 colleague, and then we will have Mr. Clifton sworn 9 in. 10 MR. CURRIE: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. 11 I guess I would just like to make it clear on the 12 record that this is really the portion of the 13 three RMs presentation. The last was in fact ours 14 as well, but I'm not sure whether the Coalition 15 will adopt everything we say. We hope they would. 16 THE CHAIRMAN: I stand corrected yet 17 again. 18 MR. CURRIE: I don't mean it that way, 19 but just for the record. 20 THE CHAIRMAN: I can't keep it 21 straight between the Coalition and -- maybe I 22 should just give credit to everybody. 23 MR. CURRIE: The group, okay. 24 THE CHAIRMAN: The northern group. 25 MR. CURRIE: With that, what I would 01514 1 do then, Mr. Chairman, is ask that Mr. Clifton 2 briefly introduce himself to the Commission and 3 the members of the audience and the MFA. 4 MR. CLIFTON: Good afternoon, 5 Mr. Chair, members of the Commission, and good 6 afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. 7 My name is Wayne Clifton, 8 C-L-I-F-T-O-N. I'm a civil engineer with a fairly 9 diverse past and training. My undergraduate 10 degree is in civil engineering. My initial work 11 experience was in the transportation area. My 12 post graduate training was in, initially in 13 highway transportation and materials, and 14 subsequent post graduate work was in engineering 15 geology, geotechnical engineering. 16 My work history, my career, initially 17 was in the civil engineering construction, 18 principally related to highways and bridges. But 19 with the onset of the second generation of uranium 20 industry and the new mining regulations, and new 21 environmental regulations in Saskatchewan in the 22 late 1960s, I became one of the early 23 practitioners addressing the issues related to 24 environmental management of the uranium industry, 25 dealing with some of the most toxic substances 01515 1 that we know in our industrial society, in an area 2 of principally fractured rock and pristine 3 groundwater conditions. 4 In the early 1970s we had very few 5 tools to deal with these issues, and I started 6 what turned out to be a 30-year collaboration with 7 my colleagues at the University of Saskatchewan in 8 working on developing tools to address the 9 analysis of environmental impacts, principally on 10 the groundwater system, and have worked in that 11 area for 30 odd years. 12 During that career I have worked both 13 as a principal investigator, as a manager of 14 impact assessment, as a technical advisor to 15 federal panels, a technical advisor to governments 16 on evaluation of issues related to protection of 17 groundwater and surface water systems, many of 18 them in very sensitive socio-economic conditions 19 where they are areas of great public concern. 20 So that's a very brief background of 21 my own history. 22 THE CHAIRMAN: Thank you, Mr. Clifton. 23 I will ask the Commission secretary to swear you 24 in please. 25 (WAYNE CLIFTON: SWORN) 01516 1 THE CHAIRMAN: You may proceed, sir. 2 MR. CLIFTON: Thank you. My 3 presentation relates to the groundwater concerns 4 of the rural municipalities of St. Clements, East 5 St. Paul and Springfield. I was contacted by the 6 RM of Springfield on behalf of the three 7 municipalities in the late fall of 2004, and had 8 early discussions with them regarding the 9 environmental impact assessment of the floodway 10 expansion. 11 My mandate, put in simple terms, was 12 really to review the documents and to assess 13 whether the interests of the three municipalities 14 were adequately reflected in the considerations 15 published within the documents. 16 My presentation this afternoon 17 records, or outlines my conclusions which were 18 previously communicated in a brief written report 19 that was submitted to Mr. Currie. So with that, I 20 will commence with my presentation. 21 The opinions that are expressed in 22 this presentation are mine. They are based on 23 documentation provided to the intervenors up until 24 mid January, thereabouts, in 2005. But the 25 presentation that I'm going to give you does not 01517 1 incorporate all of the changes necessarily that 2 have been verbally indicated during the hearings. 3 I have only attended the hearings over the last 4 several days, so I'm perhaps not fully conversant 5 with the changes that have taken place. But with 6 that caveat, the deficiencies are mine, and I'm 7 not in any way saying to the proponent that I 8 disagree with them. As a matter of fact, far from 9 that, I congratulate the proponent on getting a 10 very complex and difficult project to this point 11 in very, very short -- in a very, very short time 12 frame. I have some knowledge of the degree of 13 difficulty involved and I salute them for their 14 achievements. It has been a lot of work in a very 15 short time. 16 Now, what I will point out is perhaps 17 some areas where we have some differences of 18 opinion in some of the conclusions reached, and of 19 course, that's what we are here to discuss today. 20 The summary of concerns are centred 21 around the overview of the groundwater resource 22 and they focus on specific issues related to 23 conservation, management, monitoring, many of them 24 centred around the interpretation of the CEAA 25 requirements, particularly with respect to 01518 1 application of the cumulative effects assessment. 2 We will end, or I will end with some 3 recommended conditions of approval. And in 4 summary, just to summarize, that the 5 municipalities are recommending approval of the 6 project. But they are recommending approval of 7 the project and seeking the intervention of the 8 Commissioners with some specific conditions of 9 approval that will leave the municipalities whole 10 with respect to their interests and the interests 11 of their residents in the groundwater resource. 12 So in summary, we have concerns, we 13 recommend approval, but we are seeking specific 14 conditions to address those concerns. 15 Some of the concerns relate to who is 16 the proponent, and the fact that the proponent, 17 there may be multiple proponents here. We will 18 talk about the assessment methodology and about 19 the ongoing uncontrolled discharge of very 20 valuable, very high quality water which is 21 impacting the region's future; the fact that the 22 authority and its successors must become a 23 responsible manager of the groundwater resource, 24 that the impact, while it is portrayed as site 25 based or at best local in our estimation is much 01519 1 more extensive than that. While, again, while it 2 is portrayed as being construction related only, 3 we believe again that it has much longer term 4 effects than that. And that centres particularly 5 around the cumulative effects assessment which we 6 believe is not accurately interpreted. The 7 ongoing, the ongoing contamination of the aquifer 8 that is there is not being addressed to our way of 9 thinking. Commitment to transparent community 10 based monitoring program, arms length dispute 11 resolution, and as I said before, conditions of 12 approval. 13 So that, Mr. Chairman, is a fairly 14 broad menu, but I will try to briefly describe 15 those. I think the concerns are elaborated to a 16 greater extent in the written submission that was 17 provided earlier. 18 Who is the proponent? Well, in the 19 documents provided, the Expansion Authority is the 20 proponent for licensing, design and construction, 21 and the Stewardship department for operations. I 22 simply draw that to the attention of the 23 Commission, that it is important that the 24 conditions of approval also apply to the operator. 25 Conditions of approval for design and construction 01520 1 should endure and survive through to the 2 operations of the facility. And I won't say 3 anything further about that, but I will address 4 the issue of impact assessment, of the 5 methodology. And this has been in front of the 6 Commission several times, including while I have 7 been in the audience, and I will be brief. 8 The impacts assessed according to 9 duration, less than five years is short term, 10 greater than five years is long term. That's 11 important because five years is essentially the 12 construction period for the facility. They are 13 assessed according to magnitude, and the magnitude 14 definition is clear. Small, there is no 15 measurable effect. Moderate, impact is an effect 16 that could be detected with a well designed 17 monitoring system. And I would underline that for 18 the Commissioners. That's an important 19 consequence, because it can only -- the moderate 20 effects can only be detected if there is a 21 comprehensive, well designed, representative 22 monitoring system that gathers information from 23 before construction, through into the long term 24 during operations. Very important aspect. Large 25 impacts are those that are readily detectible 01521 1 without monitoring. If my well goes dry, to me, 2 that's an obvious large impact. And those scalers 3 are very clear in the EIS. 4 There is impacts assessed according to 5 geographic extent, and they are site local and 6 regional. The site impact is within the 7 right-of-way. If it extends beyond the 8 right-of-way to an area -- the extent of the area 9 impacted by changes in water levels or water 10 flows, that's a local impact. Again, important to 11 note. Regional is beyond the local area. So, the 12 definition is self-limiting. By definition all 13 groundwater impacts are either local or site. 14 There are no regional impacts according to the 15 EIS. Even though this is a very, very large 16 regional resource, but it is not a regional 17 resource from an assessment perspective. And I 18 point that out simply because, not by any way 19 suggesting that the authority is attempting to 20 mislead anybody, but it is important from impact 21 assessment to understand that that's a scaler 22 that's used in the assessment. 23 And it also defines the mitigation 24 requirements, it defines requirements that the 25 proponent commits to. And I would say I didn't 01522 1 cotton to that until rereading chapter 2 of the 2 EIS in the last ten days, that it became -- that I 3 became aware, and that's my fault, not anybody 4 else's, on the definition of a local impact. 5 In my comments and in my discussion, 6 my definition of region is different. I define 7 region as extending beyond one jurisdiction. So 8 if it extends beyond one municipality or the 9 boundaries, multiple jurisdictions, to me, that's 10 a regional impact. But that's not the scaler that 11 the assessors were using in defining this. 12 So I mention this impact assessment 13 methodology, because by this definition, and 14 essentially within the documents limiting the 15 impact assessment to the construction phase, it is 16 short term only. So the majority of assessment is 17 short term and local. The consideration of long 18 term effects is absent in large part from the 19 documents, but in our view, it needs to be there 20 for completeness, because long term impacts are 21 extremely important to the groundwater users that 22 use the water from this aquifer system. 23 Now I draw your attention to this 24 figure, and I'm sorry, I should have put the 25 figure number, but it reinforces what I was saying 01523 1 about the scaler. And this is the scaler for 2 potentially significant biophysical impacts on the 3 environment. And for short term impacts, if the 4 scalers, if the effects are only moderate and 5 local, mitigation is not required. So that says 6 that virtually all construction impacts do not 7 require mitigation. 8 If, on the other hand, the long term 9 impacts, which are not largely considered within 10 the documents, if they are local and moderate, 11 they would require mitigation. 12 And so this is an area of significant 13 concern to the municipalities. And I have heard 14 in the last two days a discussion that the 15 Authority had said that they are committed to 16 mitigating those impacts, but that is not what 17 I -- my response is a formal response to the 18 documents, and that is not what the documents have 19 said. 20 I will run quickly through the 21 reinforcement of the aquifer. It is a very large 22 aquifer system, as has been explained many times, 23 flows from east to west. Birds Hill sand and 24 gravel deposits cover about 150 square kilometres 25 of unconfined aquifer, very high quality water 01524 1 recharge to the bedrock aquifer. It is a source 2 of very high quality traditionally to the three 3 municipalities, and that has been a competitive 4 and lifestyle advantage for both the 5 municipalities and the residents; hence the level 6 of concern for this particular issue within the 7 municipalities. 8 These aquifers support well in excess 9 of 30,000 persons in the three municipalities, and 10 demand is growing quite rapidly. The 11 municipalities expect ever increasing exploitation 12 of the groundwater and are concerned that it be 13 protected for the future. 14 Some water planning has been done 15 within the region. I reference the Selkirk and 16 District Planning Area Board that has been 17 mentioned previously as being prepared by Wardrop 18 in 1999. And it is a useful document in that it 19 assesses the groundwater availability within that 20 planning district. And their conclusion is that 21 the groundwater within that planning district will 22 be fully allocated by 2030 even if there is 23 significant conservation measures taken, put in 24 place. If the conservation measures are not in 25 place or fully implemented, the allocation will be 01525 1 fully subscribed about 15 years earlier than that, 2 so prior to 2020. 3 The hazard of river infiltration is 4 recognized. East St. Paul municipality has had an 5 experience in the 1980s and 1990s, wherein 6 residents with groundwater wells within the 7 carbonate aquifer experienced contamination. And 8 as a result, East St. Paul went to a piped water 9 system. That contamination was from the Red 10 River, but it demonstrates that the mechanism of 11 contaminated water entering the carbonate aquifer 12 can readily be transmitted to wells. And I think 13 that mechanism is now well accepted. I have heard 14 it discussed several times in the last two days. 15 But it is not a hypothetical case, it has been 16 experienced by the residents of East St. Paul. 17 East St. Paul is currently short of 18 water. For the last number of years they have 19 been constructing well fields that are attempting 20 to harvest the springs that are a relic from, that 21 remain from the 1968 construction, springs that 22 have been discharging into the channel, into the 23 floodway channel. They have been attempting to 24 pick up that water by a well field at what is 25 known as the Oasis well field. And it is high 01526 1 quality water, but they need more water now. They 2 are currently short of water and will be looking 3 to exploit more. 4 There is a growing regional demand 5 that will have an impact on the groundwater regime 6 that is not accounted for in the EIS. And the 7 rationale, we heard that clearly expressed by the 8 authority, that that demand would go on regardless 9 if the floodway was expanded or not. And so 10 therefore that demand need not be considered in 11 the EIS. 12 That's an important consideration. 13 Because if that demand does go on, and I think it 14 is only a matter of time before gradient reversals 15 will take place and contamination that is in the 16 floodway channel now, as we heard about 17 previously, will be free to migrate out of the 18 channel towards wells. Hence the level of concern 19 on behalf of the municipalities that this is not a 20 short term construction of the expansion issue, it 21 is a long term conservation of water quality and 22 water quantity issue. 23 The other really significant concern 24 is that the best quality water, we have heard this 25 before, but the best quality water is currently 01527 1 being allowed to flow freely down the channel, 2 with no attempts at conservation. 3 The aquifer was very heavily impacted 4 by the 1968 construction, that's again well 5 documented in the EIS. And the proponents have 6 done a very good job in bringing -- in attempting 7 to assess that impact, even though presumably it 8 is not part of the expansion area, but it was an 9 attempt to show how the baseline has evolved. And 10 there has been more than six metres of drawdown in 11 this area with a very, very large cone. Much of 12 the flows appears to be attributable to blowouts 13 and uncontrolled flow into the channel. Because 14 of this past experience, because of this past 15 experience with the impacts of construction, the 16 institutions, i.e., the municipalities and the 17 residents of this area are strongly sensitized to 18 this issue. 19 And I can tell you, Mr. Chair, the 20 process that I engaged in was an evaluation, and 21 then multiple meetings with the municipalities as 22 I reported back my conclusions and sought more 23 information from them. And feelings among my 24 client group were very strong. It is both an 25 economic issue and an emotional issue with many 01528 1 people in this area. They are highly sensitized 2 to this issue, and I simply reinforce that with 3 the Commission. 4 This is the post floodway drawdown 5 that has been simulated by the proponent's 6 analysts, and it demonstrates the very, very 7 considerable extent of the drawdown centered right 8 on this area, very close to the area that we are 9 in right now. The RM of Springfield was certainly 10 in the centre of the impacted area 11 Now what is a blowout? I want to 12 discuss this just for a minute because there have 13 been a lot of discussions about that, and I will 14 try to explain it in very simple language. The 15 aquifer in the channel prior to 1968 was sealed by 16 very thick layers of clay and fine grain soils 17 that sealed the water in the bedrock, in the 18 limestone and dolomite. And there was high 19 pressure, high water heads sealed in the bedrock. 20 And as the clay and till were removed, at some 21 points the water pressure from underneath was 22 greater than the weight of the soil holding the 23 water in. When that happened, the soil was 24 lifted, and when it lifted it cracked and 25 fissured. It is by no means a blowout, it is not 01529 1 a bomb blast or anything of that nature. It's a 2 slow lifting of the soil, and the soil is cracked, 3 and the water can escape through those cracks, and 4 with time the cracks are expanded by the springs, 5 and the water flowing away carries a bit of soil 6 and they become, slowly become more developed with 7 time, and water can escape with less and less 8 resistance. That's typical development of what is 9 called a blowout in civil engineering terms. The 10 clay seal lifts and fractures, allowing springs to 11 flow freely, and the aquifer is largely 12 unprotected at those areas. 13 I know of no springs, in my 14 experience, that once they start flowing ever 15 reseal until the water pressure drops to the level 16 below the ground level at the spring. As a matter 17 of fact, they tend to become more prominent with 18 time. 19 So a typical blowout has been 20 explained here as being -- it reflects around the 21 bottom of the low flow channel, where this area in 22 here the soil slowly lifts, opens up so cracks can 23 form, and water from the green underlying bedrock 24 aquifer percolates up into the channel and flows 25 into the Red River. That is what blowouts do. 01530 1 Blowouts crack the soil, make it more permeable, 2 remove the natural protection that exists. 3 A huge amount of water has been lost 4 from the aquifer, initially estimated at 3,000 5 gallons per minute, the flow now is 1,000 gallons 6 a minute at Dunning crossing, about 7 4 million cubic metres or 4 billion litres a year, 8 enough water into the channel for 31,000 residents 9 within the three municipalities, about the same 10 amount as the current population of the 11 municipalities; so hence the nature of the 12 concern. 13 Virtually all of the flow appears to 14 be from the springs in the channel, but -- and 15 this information on the characterization of the 16 springs was the subject of some discussion in the 17 last two days, also was the subject of the 18 interrogatory which I have noticed here, RM 3 IR 19 3A, but there is no information on the springs, 20 but the springs are key. They are a key 21 engineering issue because they define areas of 22 sensitivity within the aquifer. Hence, 23 characterization of those springs, the lack of 24 characterization of those springs, in my view, is 25 a serious omission within the EIS. 01531 1 The basic assumption, also within the 2 engineering concept, is that these springs will be 3 allowed to flow in perpetuity, because there are 4 no alternatives discussed to bring them under 5 control. And the municipalities, as I stated 6 before, clearly do not agree with this approach. 7 It is not in keeping with the modern approaches to 8 conservation and resource management, and not an 9 acceptable approach in terms of project 10 development. 11 So the characterization of groundwater 12 conditions in the channel, because of the lack of 13 information on the springs and the flows, is 14 incomplete and inadequate. It is inadequate -- it 15 is inadequate information upon which to form a 16 decision on impacts, on the impact of this 17 project. 18 Now, it isn't, I must point out in 19 fairness, it isn't deficient if the Commission 20 accepts the proponent's definition of expansion. 21 Because the proponent's definition of expansion is 22 that those springs are there, they will continue 23 to be there, that there is no plan to change them, 24 and they would be there for the next centuries 25 regardless if the project is expanded or not. And 01532 1 I agree with that. That's correct. But I 2 disagree with that definition of the project, as 3 we will talk about later. That is really central 4 to the cumulative effects discussion. 5 Can you adequately, as Commissioners, 6 render a decision on the impact, the acceptability 7 of impacts of the expansion without considering 8 ongoing environmental effects? The municipalities 9 would strongly submit you to consider the project 10 as a whole. I will talk about that more. But the 11 groundwater conditions in the channel are a 12 fundamental input to numerical modeling, to design 13 decisions, to impact assessment, to mitigation 14 design, to monitoring, and to risk assessment. 15 They are a key piece of information that is not 16 being provided in the documents. 17 Let's talk then further about 18 cumulative effects. Cumulative effects, the 19 approach that's put forward within the EIA, is an 20 internal authority interpretation on how to apply 21 the impact assessment. The combination of the 22 impact assessment methodology and interpretation 23 of cumulative effects, if the Commission accepts 24 that argument, means that groundwater issues are 25 off the table. We do not support that, of course, 01533 1 nor is it in keeping with normal practice of 2 impact assessment. But if cumulative effects 3 assessment, and the assessment of duration and 4 severity of effects are accepted, as put forward 5 in the EIA, groundwater impacts will not be a 6 consideration for this panel. That is -- I point 7 that out because that is the net result of the 8 structure of the EIA. And I'm sure Mr. Currie 9 will have more to say on that at a later date. I 10 simply point out to the Commissioners that that is 11 how the EIA is structured. 12 That is important because the existing 13 project is unlicensed and it is non-compliant. 14 This was an interrogatory to the proponent in RM 3 15 IR 4A and 4B. It was unlicensed for good reasons, 16 there was no one in 1968 to licence it. The 17 proponent rightly points out that water was 18 property of the Crown, and the Crown in 1968 was 19 probably free to do whatever they wished with 20 groundwater. But it is non-compliant, certainly 21 with current Manitoba Government policy as 22 expressed in sustainability policy and as 23 expressed in current background to Bill 22, which 24 is groundwater management policy. And I will -- I 25 can speak further to that, if you wish, but it 01534 1 is -- when I say it is non-compliant, it is 2 non-compliant certainly from a policy perspective, 3 and it is -- I am going to ask Mr. Currie to file 4 with the Commissioners a document regarding bill 5 22, which is the Water Protection Act that is 6 currently under study, and it was a presentation 7 to Manitoba Planning Conference which laid out the 8 direction. And it is very much a direction that 9 the Commissioners, that the municipalities are 10 espousing. 11 And the theory, the hypothesis of that 12 bill, the background principle of it is that water 13 can no longer -- the quantity and quality of water 14 can no longer be taken for granted. And there is 15 specific issues they are asking for; source 16 protection, transparency and inclusiveness, water 17 shed planning, state of water shed reporting, 18 stakeholder committees and stakeholder 19 consultations, and the need to integrate land use 20 planning and water use planning. 21 You will see that the recommendations 22 that the municipalities put forward are very 23 consistent with the intent of that legislation. 24 And so nothing that the municipalities are 25 proposing is different from Manitoba policy, by 01535 1 any means, it is supportive of Provincial policy 2 in that area. 3 The suggested application of 4 cumulative effects as put forth by the proponent 5 is not rational. The CEC is invited to consider 6 assessment only for widening, but as we heard on 7 Monday -- you are also invited to consider only 8 widening and the impacts of widening, but you are 9 invited to recommend approval of the whole 10 project. That simply, Commissioners, is an 11 attempt to use a back door approach to licence the 12 entire facility, and it is not in keeping with 13 generally accepted practice with respect to these 14 facilities. The entire project must be considered 15 to assess the net effects of the project. 16 So in summary, the existing project 17 remains non-compliant, certainly, at least from a 18 policy perspective. Groundwater wastage continues 19 unabated within the existing channel, the aquifer 20 remains unprotected, health risk assessment and 21 potential risks to the residents and to the 22 municipalities are not considered, time effects 23 looking forward into the future were not 24 considered. 25 All of those issues within the 01536 1 documents are deferred to detailed design, and 2 that's highly irregular where there is an issue 3 that affects public welfare. Public welfare 4 issues -- one of the purposes of environmental 5 hearings are so that public welfare issues may 6 obtain a full airing, and the public can make a 7 decision as to whether or not these issues are 8 treated to their satisfaction, or can enjoin or 9 can prevail upon the Commission to make 10 recommendations on their behalf. But the public 11 here cannot make those representations because the 12 details are not presented. They are deferred to 13 the detailed design stage. And that's not in 14 keeping, as I note, it is not in keeping in 15 generally accepted practice for environmental 16 impact assessment. It is not in keeping with 17 general accept practice for environmental impact 18 assessment. Issues that are of strong public 19 concern are usually addressed in detail in the 20 impact assessment documents. 21 Now, the 1968 construction created a 22 series of direct hydraulic connections between the 23 floodway and the bedrock aquifers. These are 24 simulated by models, and there is quite an 25 extensive modeling exercise within the documents, 01537 1 and verified by direct observations on the wells. 2 Now, the impacts will persist for 3 centuries unless they are mitigated in some 4 fashion or the other. And I reproduce here the 5 profiles of the low flow channel inward; in other 6 words, the bottom of the low flow channel. And it 7 is of interest because the green line here was the 8 channel bottom when the survey was conducted, in 9 other words, say 2003 or 2004. The original 10 design is the red line. 11 The issue over deepening and not 12 deepening is an important one, but you can see 13 that mother nature has taken matters into her own 14 hands in some important areas where the deepening 15 appears to be as much as a metre to a metre and a 16 half in certain areas. So there has been very 17 significant deepening of the channel just through 18 natural river erosion effects and river formation, 19 river channel formation. 20 It will be a challenge for the 21 engineering team to design an erosion protection 22 system that maintains the channel back at that red 23 line, which was the original design. That will be 24 an important benefit if the channel can be 25 maintained there because more water -- the channel 01538 1 is deeper than designed. As the channel deepens, 2 more water is being bled off by the channel. So 3 backfill of the channel will be an important 4 benefit in conservation. 5 The impact of flood simulation 6 mounding received ample discussion yesterday, I 7 won't go into it further, I think it was 8 adequately explored yesterday. I can add nothing 9 to that discussion. I will discuss, though, the 10 role of models and what is the importance of 11 models in this discussion. 12 Models are mathematical simulations of 13 water flow, the combination of physics and 14 mathematics to give an understanding of how the 15 groundwater flows and how the system works. They 16 are extremely valuable as a visualization tool, 17 but at this level they can not be relied upon for 18 definitive design quality data. There is a great 19 tendency to accept the results of models as being 20 definitive. They are not. Models of this scale 21 have to be based on assumptions and they are only 22 a guide to the designers, they are not definitive, 23 deterministic. In other words, they don't present 24 the answer, they present one of a series of 25 possible answers. And models are only effective 01539 1 when they are followed up with considerable what 2 is called performance matching, continue 3 calibrating with a very, very well designed and 4 maintained monitoring network. 5 The regional models are based on 6 assumed parameters and generalized geometry, out 7 of necessity, there is not enough information 8 within this hundreds of square kilometres to give 9 the generalized geology, or to have the geology in 10 detail. But again, a good tool because it shows 11 the direction of groundwater flow, where the 12 pressure points are. They do not, though, 13 consider the nature of springs. So the closer to 14 the channel that you get, the less reliable the 15 regional model will be because, again, the nature 16 of the springs as points where water is being bled 17 off, they are essentially wells in the bottom of 18 the channel, they are not fully considered. 19 Nonetheless, the regional model is quite well done 20 and it gives an important understanding of the 21 factors governing the groundwater flow. 22 The detailed models are used for the 23 near channel environment. They are again based on 24 mod flow, and they are largely saturated flow 25 models, but because of that the modeling exercise 01540 1 is not complete. It would have been much more 2 appropriate to use -- let me go back a bit. 3 Saturated flow models are models that simulate 4 movement of water below the water table. Above 5 the water table is the unsaturated zone, or what 6 is called in hydrogeology the vados zone. 7 Simulation of impacts in the channel 8 require a different model, one that can consider 9 the movement of water in the unsaturated zone, in 10 the vados zone. And while the models are 11 presented as being calibrated and robust, when you 12 look at them in detail, it is my opinion that they 13 are not sufficiently calibrated to pass a peer 14 review. And I will go into that in more detail. 15 The reason for that is because they rely, by and 16 large, calibrated to one observation well, 17 sometimes two. And that observation well is 18 sometimes some distance from the channel, when 19 really what we are looking at is analyzing impacts 20 immediately in the vicinity of the channel. For 21 those reasons, the results are order of magnitude 22 estimates only and may vary from reality, from the 23 facts that are experienced in the field from 24 construction by a significant amount. I say by a 25 factor of two to 50 or more. That sounds like a 01541 1 large number, but a factor of 10 in hydrogeology 2 studies is not unusual, it is not unusual. Two 3 orders of magnitude is 100, so one and a half 4 orders of magnitude -- these are not uncommon 5 numbers, two to 50 with the level of detail would 6 be the range that I would put on these. 7 As a result, I do not believe that the 8 models can be relied upon for definitive hard 9 judgments at this level of detail. They are a 10 very good approximation, they give indications 11 into the mechanisms. That is very important, it 12 is guidance to the designers, but it is not a 13 definitive, this is the answer, this is what is 14 going to happen, not at this level of detail, not 15 with this level of input information. 16 Contaminant transport models would 17 normally be the follow-up to the type of modeling 18 that's presented. Contaminate transport model, 19 contaminate transport is exactly that. If a 20 contaminant enters the aquifer, where will it go 21 and how fast does it get there? They normally 22 depend, and they are built on top of a valid 23 calibrated seepage model. 24 Now, they result in -- in the EIS, 25 basically the definitions are -- the modeling in 01542 1 the EIS presents mechanisms of the flow, and 2 that's again very valuable. But there is no 3 transport modeling. Mod flow, used in the way 4 that it is, is not an appropriate tool to model 5 contaminant transport in the aquifer. There is a 6 parallel set of software that goes with mod flow 7 that is an appropriate tool, but in my estimation, 8 mod flow is not the tool. And this is technical 9 argument and I will not get into it further, but I 10 would be prepared to answer questions on it. 11 So as a result, the time estimates 12 that are presented are order of magnitude 13 estimates only. 14 The conclusion that contamination of 15 the aquifer is inconsequential is just not 16 justified on the basis of the models. And then 17 the literature is replete with areas where the 18 models -- ground truthing and performance differ 19 significantly from modeling. That's to be 20 expected. That is the norm rather than the 21 exception. 22 The physical models show surface water 23 is not readily ejected from the aquifer. And we 24 heard information on that yesterday, and I agree 25 with that. But there is probable long term plume 01543 1 development both up gradient and down gradient in 2 the vicinity of the blowouts and springs. 3 What do I mean by plume development? 4 The plume is the residual of the surface water. 5 That surface water will reside in the aquifer both 6 east and west of the channel. It is more severe 7 to the west as reported in the EIS, because that's 8 the direction of natural flow, but it can also 9 move upstream and up gradient, and progressive 10 degradation of the aquifer is probable unless it 11 is mitigated. 12 And I will show you a mechanism by 13 which that is likely occurring -- to follow up on 14 the work that was reported yesterday afternoon, 15 for that reason, there is a potential human health 16 risk that needs to be evaluated for completeness 17 of the impact assessment. I will show you just a 18 very simple simulation that I carried out to 19 satisfy myself as to the mechanisms that may 20 exist. And this is following on the geometry that 21 is reported in the Keewatin Bridge site analysis 22 where there is a blowout of the silt till 23 aquitard. The analysis it carries out applies 24 seven weeks of flood levels and then allows, 25 simulates the channel being dry for ten years to 01544 1 see if the water that intrudes into the aquifer 2 will come out of it. The intent of this is not by 3 any means to be definitive, but it is to 4 illustrate the pathway and the mechanisms of the 5 plume development that completeness in the EIS 6 requires. 7 So the basic model is to look at an 8 area equivalent to the base of the low flow 9 channel that has been disrupted by flow, so that 10 it has the permeability of a sand or a dirty 11 gravel or a fractured till, a fractured dense 12 till. And it is subjected to the flood for a 13 period of seven weeks. This is, I can't tell you 14 exactly where this is taken from, but it 15 approximates the hydrograph under flood 16 conditions. 17 And the results are this: If you look 18 at the concentration of surface water within the 19 aquifer, near the top of the carbonate bedrock, 20 immediately below the channel invert, now zero 21 percent on this concentration curve would mean no 22 surface water, 1.0 or 100 percent means that it is 23 all surface water. Using this simulation, it 24 shows that surface water rapidly enters the 25 aquifer, and after a few days the top part of the 01545 1 aquifer is predominantly surface water. The 2 pathway is there to deliver surface water. 3 And if you look at concentration below 4 the aquifer, this again is percentage surface 5 water -- a plug of surface water flows down 6 through the aquifer and through this blowout and 7 resides within the aquifer after a very few days 8 or few weeks. And when you look at the 9 concentration of surface water in the bedrock 10 after seven weeks of intrusion, about 80 percent 11 immediately under the aquifer, but the plume 12 spreads out so that the 10 percent line is about 13 100 metres upstream -- sorry, 100 metres west, 50 14 to 75 metres east. So it can move both up 15 gradient and down gradient by the natural mixing 16 mechanisms which occur. 17 So this is the shape of the plume. 18 And I won't spend more time other than to 19 demonstrate how the surface water can spread in 20 the subsurface. It is there after two years. 21 Now, what we did in the simulation is we 22 allowed -- this is with water flowing back, this 23 is a dry channel and water is flowing back, but 24 even with it flowing back for two years, there is 25 still zones of about 20 percent surface water 01546 1 remaining within the carbonate aquifer. And even 2 after six years there are zones within the 3 carbonate aquifer that are more than 10 percent 4 surface water. And the analysis shows that the 5 impact could well go to 200 metres to the west and 6 150 metres, plus or minus, to the east. 7 Now, if after 10 years there were a 8 second flood, what would happen? Well, the second 9 flood causes the plume to spread. And I will just 10 go back. This is where the plume is after two 11 years. If there is a second flood in 10 years, 12 the plume is pushed out. If there is a second 13 flood after 20 years, the plume is pushed out 14 farther, and by 20 years it is pushed out to more 15 than 500 metres to the west, more than 400 metres 16 to the east. This is a simulation only. And it 17 is based on assumed information. 18 The point of the simulation is to 19 demonstrate that the mechanism can exist, or does 20 exist. The physics are there that will allow 21 mixing of the surface water into the groundwater 22 in the carbonate aquifer, and that the migration 23 is more rapid to the east, but there is also 24 reason for concern for migration to the west. 25 It is a model to evaluate the mobility 01547 1 of the plume. And the plume is likely to be 2 mobile. A significant amount of surface water is 3 likely to remain in the aquifer. And contaminant 4 mobility, mobility of contaminated surface water 5 is a potential concern that needs further 6 investigation. 7 Second issue is areas of exposed 8 bedrock -- residents have reported to me and I 9 believe you will hear from at least one of them, 10 that bedrock exposures exist within the channel 11 particularly within the vicinity of Spring Hill. 12 I haven't investigated those areas further, but if 13 they are there, there is an area of even greater 14 susceptibility to contamination than what I have 15 modeled, and it is an area that deserves further 16 evaluation. 17 I want to speak about the issue of 18 dealing with uncertainty. Uncertainty is inherent 19 in the modeling of the subsurface. Again, we deal 20 with the information in hand, sometimes we are 21 attempting to model hundreds of square kilometres 22 with very little information. The EIS uses 23 sensitivity analysis as a tool to evaluate what 24 are called worst case scenarios. That's a 25 valuable tool, but you don't know whether those 01548 1 worst case scenarios are, in fact, worst case 2 scenarios, because the analysis is based largely 3 on assumed data, but we do know that the results 4 are not deterministic. In analysis such as this, 5 a method of probability is very valuable. And 6 that is a mechanism that I would be looking for. 7 A probabilistic risk based approach is preferred, 8 particularly where human health concerns may 9 exists. 10 What is a probabilistic approach? 11 Well, in the evaluations that are presented, the 12 permeability of the soil, for instance, or the 13 porosity of the soil is represented by a number, 14 but we know that's not the case. In fact, there 15 is some sort of a normal distribution, or perhaps 16 not normal, but some sort of a distribution of 17 values over a whole population of permeability 18 values that might exist. If that soil was all of 19 one permeability and could be represented in the 20 fashion that's here, then the numbers that are put 21 forward would be valid. But we know that, we know 22 when you dig in the subsurface sometimes we will 23 go through tens of feet of clay and it will be 24 uniform, maybe move over 50 metres and go through 25 clay and then silt and maybe sand pockets, 01549 1 whatever. It is not a uniform subsurface. The 2 results cannot be represented by a single number. 3 There is not one answer, there is a range of 4 probable answers, of possible answers. 5 And when I look at the documents, best 6 practices in evaluating groundwater impacts 7 require a look at probability. What is the 8 probability that an event will occur and that 9 contaminated water may reach the receptor? 10 Time effects -- the EIS considers only 11 construction and the longer term impacts are 12 ignored. And again there is a reason for that, 13 because from the view of the proponents, those 14 long term impacts would occur regardless, the vast 15 majority of those impacts would occur whether or 16 not the expansion goes forward. So the impacts of 17 things like uncontrolled flow are not discussed. 18 But allowing groundwater to escape into the 19 channel in an uncontrolled fashion is not best 20 practice from an engineering perspective, 21 particularly in a bedrock that is subject to 22 piping and karsting, which is formation of 23 channels in the subsurface. If that happens and 24 the springs continue to develop and the channel 25 erodes, there is progressively greater drainage of 01550 1 groundwater from the region. And hence the long 2 term impacts of that uncontrolled flow, to me, 3 require evaluation. 4 The issue of progressive contamination 5 of the aquifer is mentioned in the EIS but it is 6 discounted without analysis, by application of the 7 Ontario guidelines. That even if there is 8 migration into the aquifer, we need not be 9 concerned about it because beyond 400 metres the 10 bacteria will become inactive. And we heard the 11 CRA experts talk about that yesterday. Their 12 response was that microbes into the carbonate 13 aquifer can remain viable for kilometres, not a 14 few hundred metres. 15 So as a result, the consideration of 16 time effects, of long term effects in the EIS, in 17 our view, is a major deficiency. A deficiency 18 that can be corrected, but there is not sufficient 19 information at the moment to make a judgment as to 20 the magnitude of impacts, particularly with 21 respect to health concerns in the long term. 22 So, what are the hazards that we are 23 talking about? Well, the 1968 construction 24 removed the protective clay cover, the springs are 25 there, the bedrock may be locally exposed in the 01551 1 channel -- and I'm advised that it is by residents 2 knowledgeable in the area -- the flood water is 3 known to be polluted, there is no provision within 4 the design of this facility at the moment for 5 protection of the aquifer, because that is an 6 ongoing effect, part of the evolving baseline that 7 will continue to evolve for centuries in the 8 future, and hence not required to be addressed 9 under the terms of reference under which the 10 proponent has submitted this EIS. And that will 11 be an area of significant debate. Long term 12 depletion of groundwater, long term degradation of 13 groundwater are the hazards. 14 Potential impacts not addressed -- 15 economic impact as a result of loss of benefit 16 from the groundwater resource, health and safety 17 impacts, the risk of progressive degradation, or 18 the risk of pathogenic contamination of 19 groundwater, biophysical impacts on progressive 20 degradation of water quality and reduction in safe 21 yield of the aquifer. 22 The impacts, as I said, are focused, 23 they are framed in the local context, but it is 24 clear that because of the importance of this 25 aquifer within multiple jurisdictions, they are 01552 1 regional extent with a time line well beyond the 2 limit of construction. 3 I want to focus a bit on potential 4 human health effects. I don't want to be alarmist 5 in any way. I simply mention this because, for 6 the sake of completeness, given that the 7 mechanisms exist, human health effects deserve 8 some discussion, and they are not discussed in the 9 EIS. 10 The U.S. EPA risk assessment model is 11 applicable here, and it provides a very good 12 framework for definition of risk, a risk based 13 approach, particularly with respect to 14 groundwater. We know that there is a source -- 15 the U.S. EPA model is based on a source pathway 16 receptor framework. We know that there is a 17 source, there is ample supply of contaminated 18 surface water that periodically floods the 19 floodway. We know that there is a pathway. I 20 think it is agreed that the springs that emit 21 water into the floodway channel are tied into the 22 bedrock, and the monitoring system shows that the 23 bedrock aquifer is responsive to floodway, I don't 24 think there is much debate that the pathway 25 exists. There are many receptors. There are 01553 1 30,000 people, somewhat fewer than 10,000 families 2 using groundwater within the three municipalities. 3 A human health risk of potential human health 4 impacts is warranted in this condition. 5 Who is potentially at risk and what 6 are they at risk for? Well, if you look at 7 potential stakeholders, being families, the 8 municipalities or institutions of Government here, 9 and the public at large, who is at risk and what 10 are the risks? The risks are economic impact, 11 health and safety impact, and change in the 12 physical environment. All of these parties are at 13 risk to a greater or lesser degree -- let me back 14 up. All of these parties must be considered to be 15 at risk to a greater or lesser degree until 16 rigorous risk evaluation demonstrates otherwise. 17 That's one of the purposes of the EIS. 18 I want to discuss briefly the role of 19 the authority as groundwater user. One of the 20 interrogatories to the authority that the 21 municipalities put forward was to ask the MFA for 22 its policies with respect to groundwater 23 management. And the interrogatory is there for 24 the Commission to read. It basically -- I read 25 the interrogatory and I read the EIS, and although 01554 1 the MFA is a very significant water user, there 2 was no stated policy from within the corporation 3 on how groundwater would be managed or how they 4 would approach groundwater management. It is 5 clear that MFA needs to work -- we are looking for 6 recommendations from the Commission in that 7 regard, that they move in compliance with the law, 8 and we heard yesterday on some of that, but 9 certainly with respect to public policy in the 10 Province of Manitoba with respect to groundwater 11 use. Part of that is development of a groundwater 12 management plan that would focus on conserving and 13 protecting groundwater, and that would provide 14 aquifer protection for all authority lands, and 15 would implement a community based monitoring plan. 16 The authority -- in the EIS there is, 17 the issue of monitoring plan is discussed from 18 time to time, and it is passed off to other arms 19 of government. And hence my discussion, 20 Mr. Chair, with respect, that the conditions of 21 approval must apply to successors to the 22 authority. The conditions of approval must apply 23 to the operator as well as to the landlord, that 24 is very important. And because there is no long 25 term monitoring plan, there is no -- and I don't 01555 1 want this to sound, it perhaps sounds more harsh 2 than I intended. A proponent of this nature, 3 impacting groundwater resource to the extent that 4 this project has impacted it, would normally be 5 submitting a substantial monitoring plan as part 6 of the EIS, and would be required to 7 comprehensively monitor the state of the resource 8 on an ongoing basis. And the proponent has 9 monitoring responsibility. We are asking that it 10 be -- that it involve the community, that it be 11 comprehensive and that it include a comprehensive 12 baseline, the baseline should be underway now. 13 All of the monitors should be reviewed to assess 14 the conditions of the wells. If the well is more 15 than 15 years old, it probably was developed to a 16 standard that applied to a different time and 17 area, different time and different standards. All 18 monitoring needs to be reviewed and monitoring 19 should be in place, the baseline completed, well 20 before the first shovel goes into the ground. A 21 comprehensive baseline in advance of construction 22 is mandatory in our view. 23 Dispute resolution and mitigation has 24 been discussed. We are seeking commitment to a 25 process and an institution where decisions are 01556 1 science based, that they be adjudicated at arm's 2 length from the operator and the authority by a 3 fully funded independent agency with well defined 4 appeal mechanisms. So that, as was noted 5 yesterday, that claims with respect to impacts do 6 not become embroiled in long term, expensive and 7 technical and legal arguments, that they can be 8 adjudicated by an arm's length group that does not 9 have a stake in the outcome. 10 In summary, the groundwater is a 11 critical resource to the region that includes the 12 three municipal municipalities. The experience in 13 East St. Paul has demonstrated that microbial 14 contamination of the bedrock has been an ongoing 15 hazard. There have been real events. It isn't a 16 hypothetical event. The EIS conclusion of 17 maintaining status quo with respect to continued 18 wastage of groundwater is not acceptable, nor 19 probably legal when you consider the 20 Sustainability Act. 21 The EIS is severely flawed in that it 22 does not consider ongoing impacts on quality, 23 quantity and safety of the water that sustains 24 30,000 residents within the municipalities. The 25 impacts that result both from the cumulative 01557 1 effects -- sorry, the impacts result both from 2 cumulative effects of the facility and ongoing 3 operations. And we are seeking that MFA come into 4 compliance with Manitoba policy and statutes. 5 The modelling results are an 6 approximation only, and cannot be used for 7 definitive basis for critical decisions regarding 8 design of the facility. The EIS does not address 9 adequately the issues of conservation, aquifer 10 protection and sustainability. 11 A health risk assessment to the same 12 level of rigor as which the flooding risk 13 assessment is carried out is an essential 14 component of project decision making, considering 15 the identified potential for an ongoing long term 16 intrusion of surface water into an aquifer that's 17 currently used as a potable supply. 18 Despite these concerns, and after a 19 very significant discussion with the 20 municipalities, with the elected representatives 21 of the municipalities, the municipalities are 22 recommending approval of the project, but ask the 23 Commission to issue conditions of approval that 24 will require solutions be brought forward on the 25 issues that have been identified. 01558 1 These conditions include the 2 following: That the authority and the floodway 3 operators comply with all regulations governing 4 groundwater management in Manitoba. That ongoing 5 exposure of the aquifer to contaminated surface 6 water poses a potential health risk that must be 7 assessed and remediated, if necessary. And it is 8 of interest to note that that mechanism of 9 contamination -- bad choice of words. I want to 10 make it clear that it is the issue of potential 11 contamination, is not as a result of this 12 proposal. If that mechanism is, as we've assessed 13 it to be, it has been going on since the original 14 floodway was constructed. So, it has no way, 15 anything to do with the proposal that's in front 16 of us. It has to do with the facility that sits 17 there today in the geologic conditions that exist 18 there today. But the risk to the aquifer and the 19 associated risk to human health must be assessed. 20 The ALARA principle, which is as low 21 as reasonably achievable, is a very well accepted 22 principle in environmental management. It means 23 that you invest to the level where you can achieve 24 results. And the municipalities are asking that 25 the ALARA principle apply to the conservation, to 01559 1 the groundwater protection and conservation 2 aspects of the entire floodway project. In other 3 words, apply ALARA to groundwater conservation and 4 protection. A baseline be established prior to 5 commencement of construction. 6 That an arm's length, independent 7 institution be established to adjudicate claims 8 and mitigation in accordance with the 9 recommendations made within this submission. 10 That there be a comprehensive 11 characterization of the channel, including all 12 existing springs, and that this be conducted as 13 part of the pre-construction baseline. That a 14 human health risk assessment be conducted on the 15 groundwater systems in the vicinity of the 16 floodway, of the existing floodway, to assess the 17 impacts and risk on existing and potential future 18 intrusion of surface water. 19 We are asking the Commission that you 20 reject the proposed Authority methodology for 21 cumulative effects, and that the project be 22 assessed in its entirety, in other words, at the 23 1968 phase, plus the proposed expansion be 24 considered together, because it is not at all 25 clear to us how you can licence an entire project 01560 1 if you do not consider an entire project. So that 2 the project must be considered in its entirety. 3 Alternatively, in our view, the only other option 4 open to the Commission is to reject the approval. 5 So, to be considered in its entirety so that the 6 entire facility be appropriately subjected to 7 impact assessment and be licenced with the 8 appropriate conditions. 9 And that, Mr. Chairman, and ladies and 10 gentlemen, concludes my remarks. I would be 11 pleased to answer any questions. 12 THE CHAIRMAN: Thank you very much, 13 Mr. Clifton. Mr. Handlon, are you prepared to go 14 now or would you rather have a few minutes? 15 MR. HANDLON: I would need a few 16 minutes. And the one point that I would like to 17 raise, we did receive a report from Mr. Clifton, I 18 think his characterization of it was a brief 19 report. It is 16 or 18 pages. And his 20 presentation this afternoon was much more than 21 simply a restatement or restructuring of the 22 information in his report. There was some 23 restructuring of his report, but there was 24 considerable new information analysis, information 25 statements that were not contained in the original 01561 1 report. I note your requirement that people file 2 their submissions within a reasonable period of 3 time, within two weeks of the hearing itself, and 4 I note that although this presentation was very 5 well done on the computer screen, that we do not 6 have an actual physical copy of his presentation. 7 That hasn't been provided. There have been many 8 slides that have come up, a lot of information 9 that has come up and gone by very quickly. 10 I think at minimum, and I will have to 11 discuss this with my client at the break here, but 12 at a minimum we should be provided with physical 13 copies of the slides so we have something to work 14 on as we move forward. 15 MR. CURRIE: Mr. Chairman, I gave Mr. 16 Schwartz a copy of the presentation assuming that 17 you were a team of lawyers. And he has had it 18 since I walked in this afternoon. 19 MR. HANDLON: If you have provided it, 20 then my apologies. Sorry, about that. We would 21 require, though, some time to consider the 22 substantially new matters that were raised, and 23 I'm not too sure what the result of that is. If 24 we have a physical hard copy, thank you, thank you 25 for that. We would need to assess that. So, if 01562 1 we could take a short break and we will consider 2 our position. 3 THE CHAIRMAN: Okay. Ten minutes? Is 4 that sufficient time, Mr. Handlon? 5 MR. HANDLON: Yes. 6 7 (Proceedings recessed at 2:20 p.m. and 8 reconvened at 2:35 p.m.) 9 10 THE CHAIRMAN: Okay. We're ready to 11 get back at it. 12 MS. JOHNSON: Mr. Chairman, as we are 13 starting, can I enter Mr. Clifton's presentation 14 in as exhibit number 60. 15 16 (EXHIBIT 60: Presentation of Mr. 17 Wayne Clifton) 18 THE CHAIRMAN: Thank you. 19 Mr. Handlon. 20 MR. HANDLON: Yes, thank you. I'm 21 sorry we took as long as we did at the break, we 22 had to have some discussion because, as I said 23 before the break, there is new information 24 contained in Mr. Clifton's report. Although his 25 original report indicated that he done some, I 01563 1 believe the statement was simulations, we 2 certainly did not receive the details of any 3 simulations. I'm not even sure in his original 4 report if he stated the conclusions of the 5 simulations, but certainly there is considerable 6 more work that has been done, and some detail has 7 been provided. Although we do not have the model 8 or the database that Mr. Clifton used in his 9 presentation. So in that respect, I think in the 10 fairness of this hearing that we should be allowed 11 an opportunity to obtain that information from 12 Mr. Clifton. 13 I will proceed ahead with 14 cross-examination, but reserving the right to have 15 Mr. Clifton, certainly with the requirement, as 16 we'll get into the details of it during 17 questioning as to the model that was used and the 18 database, with the right to call him back, you 19 know, if after reflection on this matter that we 20 need to ask further questions of him. It may well 21 be that in going through the material and the 22 further information that he provides that we may 23 well have enough information to be able to deal 24 with it on redirect or re-examination later in 25 this proceeding. 01564 1 So with that, I'll proceed, if that's 2 satisfactory. 3 THE CHAIRMAN: Satisfactory. 4 MR. HANDLON: Thank you. 5 Mr. Clifton, so I now have a physical 6 copy of the report from Mr. Schwartz. So you just 7 had -- when did you -- I take it your presentation 8 today has been put together through the evolution 9 of time even up until probably yesterday? 10 MR. CLIFTON: That's correct. I 11 submitted the written report approximately the 2nd 12 of February, and then was out of the country for 13 two weeks, and upon my return put together the 14 PowerPoint presentation. 15 MR. HANDLON: So the PowerPoint 16 presentation, it's been ready for a few days, has 17 it? 18 MR. CLIFTON: Since last night. 19 MR. HANDLON: Since last night, okay. 20 And late last night, was it? 21 MR. CLIFTON: Well, it wasn't too bad. 22 But the majority of it was put together on 23 Saturday night, Sunday night, and incorporated 24 some minor changes last night from information 25 that was communicated in the first two days of the 01565 1 hearings that I attended this week. 2 MR. HANDLON: And the slides that you 3 had on the modeling, they were done as of February 4 2nd, were they? 5 MR. CLIFTON: No, they weren't. The 6 conclusions were done, but I made up the slides 7 again on the weekend. 8 MR. HANDLON: But the modeling was 9 done? 10 MR. CLIFTON: The modeling was done in 11 rudimentary form by the 2nd of February, yes. 12 MR. HANDLON: Okay. So you came to 13 the conclusions before, while the modeling was 14 still rudimentary? 15 MR. CLIFTON: Taking it off the 16 computer screen. 17 MR. HANDLON: You could have provided 18 that to us earlier, though, couldn't you? 19 MR. CLIFTON: The final production of 20 those slides was completed on Saturday morning. 21 MR. HANDLON: Okay. And when was the 22 modeling actually done? 23 MR. CLIFTON: Thursday and Friday, it 24 was completed, the first part of it was completed 25 prior to the 2nd of February, and it got my review 01566 1 and finalized on Thursday and Friday. 2 MR. HANDLON: Okay. Your review -- 3 was the modeling done by someone else? 4 MR. CLIFTON: The modeling was done by 5 somebody else, yes. 6 MR. HANDLON: Can you tell us who did 7 the modeling? 8 MR. CLIFTON: Dr. Hunvu in our office 9 in Regina. 10 MR. HANDLON: We'll get into some 11 details on it. One of the last slides that you 12 had up on the screen this afternoon -- now I've 13 got the physical copy, I can refer to it. I 14 believe it's the slide that you had, long-term 15 monitoring, and that -- is this one of the 16 recommendations that you're making or one of the 17 slides of you pointing out deficiencies? 18 MR. CLIFTON: This slide identifies 19 the issue, that with respect to long-term plan, or 20 long-term monitoring, there is no firm commitment 21 within the EIS or in the response to the 22 interrogatories that were submitted. We're simply 23 stating a principle on behalf of the 24 municipalities that as a proponent, that the 25 proponent of a project that already has caused 01567 1 long-term impacts, that there is a responsibility 2 to design and implement a comprehensive monitoring 3 program. 4 MR. HANDLON: I'm just going to put up 5 on the screen one of the information requests, and 6 you were aware of that process and I think you had 7 some involvement with it? 8 MR. CLIFTON: Yes, I drafted some 9 questions on behalf of the municipalities. 10 MR. HANDLON: And you read those 11 information requests, the responses? 12 MR. CURRIE: Mr. Chairman, at the 13 break in proceedings, you need one of our 14 technicians -- I simply am not technical. 15 MR. HANDLON: Perhaps what we'll do 16 is, since the technology is being worked on -- do 17 you have copies of the information requests? 18 MR. CLIFTON: They are in my briefcase 19 at the back of the room. 20 MR. HANDLON: We can find an extra 21 copy of that. It's an information request, and 22 it's RM 3 IR 4C. 23 MR. CURRIE: I have it. 24 MR. HANDLON: Do you have that, 25 Mr. Clifton? 01568 1 MR. CLIFTON: Yes, I have it. 2 MR. HANDLON: And this is in response, 3 this is from the municipality 4 C, and the 4 question posed simply was the current MFEA 5 management policies, protocols and processes which 6 govern groundwater management and extraction; 7 correct? 8 MR. CLIFTON: That's correct. 9 MR. HANDLON: And the response from 10 the Manitoba Floodway Authority's policy is to 11 minimize effects to groundwater created by the 12 project. And the next statement is, 13 "The overall mitigation strategy for 14 potential groundwater impacts includes 15 four main components." 16 And I won't read through all the details of those 17 components, but let me just highlight those 18 components. The first is prevention through 19 physical design, correct? 20 MR. CLIFTON: That's right. 21 MR. HANDLON: And we know, just on 22 that point alone, we know that through the course 23 of the engineering designs and over the course 24 that you have been involved with this project in 25 doing a review of the technical -- of the EIS, 01569 1 that you are aware of a physical change in the 2 project from the planned deepening to widening of 3 the channel? 4 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 5 MR. HANDLON: And that would be part 6 of that principle of prevention through physical 7 design, and that would be a component of that and 8 you wouldn't criticize that in any way, would you? 9 MR. CLIFTON: No, that's a positive. 10 MR. HANDLON: Number 2, environmental 11 protection during construction, and it talks about 12 environmental plans during the course of 13 construction. You are familiar with those types 14 of environmental protection plans? 15 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 16 MR. HANDLON: And number 3, post 17 construction monitoring and follow-up, and that's 18 into the future, and that clearly is past the 19 construction stage, correct? 20 MR. CLIFTON: That's correct. But we 21 also had asked for a definition of the adaptive 22 management strategy, because I personally still do 23 not know what that is, I could not advise my 24 client as to what it was. 25 MR. HANDLON: Let's just read it here. 01570 1 This was a question posed, and a fair enough 2 question that was posed. 3 "MFA has committed to an adaptive 4 management approach to environmental 5 issues. A monitoring follow-up 6 program will be prepared by MFA and 7 its consultants to verify the 8 environmental assessment predictions 9 and the success of the physical works 10 put in place to address the 11 groundwater issues. The post 12 construction monitoring and follow-up 13 plan will also be submitted to 14 Manitoba Conservation." 15 And I'm going to get into some more detail that's 16 been discussed during the course of this hearing, 17 but when you say in your slide there is a 18 deficiency that there's no commitment to long-term 19 monitoring, I submit that there is a commitment as 20 stated. And this is a restatement of various 21 provisions in the EIS itself, but certainly this 22 does indicate that there is a commitment to 23 continuing monitoring, testing and follow-up; 24 correct? 25 MR. CLIFTON: The operative words I 01571 1 believe here are "post construction." There is no 2 commitment within the EIS that I was able to 3 identify to establishing that comprehensive plan 4 in advance of construction. 5 So my question, my advice to my 6 clients was if you cannot -- if there is not an 7 adequate baseline to which you can track the 8 impacts of construction, how can you make an 9 assessment as to what the impacts are? If you 10 don't have the baseline, the post construction 11 follow-up is not very meaningful. 12 MR. HANDLON: Well, I understood your 13 criticism was that there was not long-term 14 monitoring plan. Is your criticism that there 15 wasn't a long term monitoring plan committed to 16 prior to construction? 17 MR. CLIFTON: An essential component 18 of the long-term monitoring plan is the baseline 19 prior to construction, and for a significant 20 period prior to construction, so the long-term 21 impacts can be adjudicated. Because one of the 22 scalers in impact assessment in mitigation is 23 mitigation will take place if impacts are detected 24 through a well designed comprehensive monitoring 25 plan. But in the absence of a baseline, how do 01572 1 you make judgments as to impacts? 2 MR. HANDLON: So your point is that 3 there needs to be an appropriate baseline 4 established first, future monitoring plans are 5 important, but there needs to be a baseline. Is 6 that what you're saying? Is that the deficiency? 7 MR. CLIFTON: The point I make is that 8 I would expect to find in the EIS the statement of 9 principles and outline for a comprehensive 10 monitoring program, which includes sufficient 11 monitoring and sufficient density and regularity 12 of monitoring to be able to track, to be able to 13 establish the baseline beforehand and to track the 14 impacts to construction and into the long-term, so 15 that the proposed mitigation strategy can be 16 implemented. I do not see -- I don't know how you 17 would implement the mitigation strategy with the 18 monitoring strategy that's proposed. 19 MR. HANDLON: Are you saying you don't 20 see it because you don't see details of a baseline 21 study? 22 MR. CLIFTON: That's one component. I 23 don't see the monitoring network. 24 MR. HANDLON: Well, you've been 25 here -- 01573 1 MR. CLIFTON: Several times -- I'm 2 sorry. 3 MR. HANDLON: Okay. So when you say 4 there is no long-term monitoring plan, that was a 5 deficiency, you certainly knew from the responses 6 to the information requests that certainly was 7 planned by the Floodway Authority. It's right in 8 the statement that I read, correct? 9 MR. CLIFTON: In several, in several 10 places in the EIS reference is made that the 11 long-term monitoring plan will be implemented by a 12 third party, not by the authority, that it will be 13 the responsibility of the province by some 14 mechanism to conduct that monitoring. 15 I would look for a succinct, 16 well-defined monitoring program that lays out the 17 principles, the plan, procedures for 18 communication, and action, how the information is 19 actioned. I simply didn't see that. 20 MR. HANDLON: Okay. I'm just going to 21 read to you the EIS, and its page 5-23, and it has 22 under the section monitoring, and I'll just read 23 it to you. 24 "Groundwater elevation and water 25 quality monitoring will occur during 01574 1 construction to establish response of 2 the bedrock at the Birds Hill aquifer 3 and to identify any interconnections 4 to the carbonate aquifer. Baseline 5 groundwater elevation and quality data 6 has been collected. Groundwater 7 monitoring programs will be required 8 along the floodway, including the 9 bridge and aqueduct dewatering sites. 10 A monitoring plan will be developed 11 during detailed design prior to 12 construction." 13 So you would have read that, would you not? 14 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 15 MR. HANDLON: Yes. 16 MR. CLIFTON: But now can you read to 17 me how that integrates with the long-term 18 monitoring for the project? 19 MR. HANDLON: I'll read you what the 20 commitments are that had been made during the 21 course of this hearing, that in addition to the 22 monitoring stated in the EIS that I just read to 23 you, in addition to the response to the 24 information request that there would be post 25 construction monitoring follow-up, we have also 01575 1 heard evidence here that there would be regular 2 consultations with the municipalities, for 3 example, monthly or bimonthly meetings with the 4 Floodway Authority to provide updates on the 5 project and progress. That's regular 6 consultation leading up to and through 7 construction, that's been stated. Further, the 8 Floodway Authority plans to form a community with 9 Water Stewardship, a community liaison committee 10 for each dewatering site, so for each dewatering 11 site, for the bridges, for the aqueducts, to 12 involve municipal officials and nearby residents 13 to ensure their involvement in the development of 14 groundwater monitoring and mitigation related to 15 the project components. 16 Were you aware of that from the 17 evidence? 18 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 19 MR. HANDLON: If you could -- I asked 20 you if you were aware of that, and let me finish. 21 In addition -- 22 MR. CURRIE: Mr. Chairman. 23 THE CHAIRMAN: Mr. Currie, I get the 24 impression Mr. Clifton is quite able to take care 25 of himself, and I think you are engaging in a 01576 1 fairly decent dialogue here. So I don't think 2 either is cutting off either, so. 3 MR. CURRIE: Okay. 4 MR. HANDLON: And further commitment 5 that was made during the course, if not in the EIS 6 certainly in the course of this hearing, or in the 7 information request responses, in addition MFA 8 plans to form a community liaison committee for 9 the overall groundwater monitoring and mitigation 10 program during construction and post construction. 11 So I have put to you a summary, I 12 believe, of the commitments that have been made by 13 the Floodway Authority as to monitoring. And I 14 suggest to you that your statement that there was 15 no commitment to long-term monitoring is simply 16 not correct in face of that evidence. 17 Would you agree with me that perhaps 18 there is an overstatement in your slide here? 19 MR. CLIFTON: Not at all, Mr. Handlon, 20 not at all. The -- 21 MR. HANDLON: I thought so. 22 MR. CLIFTON: The first part of your 23 statement where you read in the construction 24 component is essentially the issue that I was 25 addressing, and that is the piecemeal nature of 01577 1 the monitoring proposal during construction, that 2 it's a site-by-site, resident-by-resident basis, 3 as opposed to a comprehensive global management of 4 the aquifer system. 5 The documentation in the EIS is very 6 much directed at the engineering requirements for 7 construction, and how you manage through those 8 construction issues. What I was looking for from 9 a resource management perspective is how the 10 resource overall, how the aquifer overall is 11 managed. And if additional monitoring is required 12 on a construction site-by-site basis, so be it. I 13 think those recommendations with respect to 14 individual sites are excellent. They need to be 15 framed within a comprehensive monitoring framework 16 for the aquifer, including a comprehensive 17 baseline prior to any construction taking place. 18 MR. HANDLON: I'm just reading, it's 19 preliminary engineering report appendix P, and 20 that deals with surface water intrusion modeling. 21 And recommendation number 6, under recommendation 22 number 6, number 1, I'll just read it to you. 23 "Groundwater monitoring should be 24 continued during floodway construction 25 and for several years thereafter to 01578 1 establish any response to the bedrock 2 and Birds Hill aquifers and to 3 identify any possible unforeseen 4 interconnections to the upper 5 carbonate aquifer. Existing 6 monitoring wells installed during 7 PDEA-1 investigations can be used for 8 this purpose." 9 First of all, question, did you read this report? 10 MR. CLIFTON: I did. And let me say 11 that I think again, that -- two things. Number 1, 12 I didn't see the recommendations of appendix P 13 reflected in the main engineering report, and I 14 did not see it reflected in the EIS. There is a 15 requirement, or an undertaking in the EIS to 16 monitoring and recognizing the need for 17 monitoring. But the technical requirements out of 18 the technical appendices did not penetrate 19 through, did not flow through the engineering 20 report into the EIS. Hence my statement of 21 commitment. 22 And the second component of that is 23 that statement is predicated on the fact, on the 24 assumption that the current monitoring network is 25 adequate. As I said during my presentation, it 01579 1 most likely, if it's more than 15 years old, it 2 most likely is inadequate, both in quality and in 3 quantity of monitoring. 4 MR. HANDLON: It's just been 5 installed. 6 MR. CLIFTON: Sorry? 7 MR. HANDLON: It's been installed 8 recently, it's not 15 years old. The PDA-1 is -- 9 MR. CLIFTON: Mr. Chair, I can't react 10 to that. 11 THE CHAIRMAN: Then you don't need to. 12 MR. CLIFTON: But I think, in 13 fairness, I mean, this is part of the transparency 14 and communication issues. It's absolutely 15 indicative. We are being asked to respond in very 16 short notice to information, and we're not being 17 given the information. And I object to being 18 played for a patsy. 19 MR. HANDLON: You're not given the 20 information? I understand that you did meet with 21 Mr. Bert Smith last fall in Winnipeg? 22 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 23 MR. HANDLON: And that was pursuant to 24 an invitation that had been extended to one of the 25 municipalities by the Manitoba Floodway Authority, 01580 1 correct? 2 MR. CLIFTON: I don't know that. I 3 was in the city for a meeting, I was asked to 4 attend a meeting that had been prior arranged with 5 the RM. 6 MR. HANDLON: So any information that 7 you sought from the engineers or from the Floodway 8 Authority, those requests haven't been turned 9 down? 10 MR. CLIFTON: Well, I think it's 11 worthwhile examining that a bit, Mr. Handlon, 12 because the EIS that I was given to review by my 13 client, by the municipalities, was two documents. 14 With the noted appendices. I reviewed those 15 documents, reported back to my client that there 16 was insufficient information upon which to base a 17 conclusion on the adequacy of the impact 18 assessment. 19 We had that meeting in the morning. 20 In the afternoon we met with Mr. Smith and 21 Mr. McNeil, and were advised that there was an 22 engineering report that had not been distributed, 23 but was provided to me at that meeting. That was 24 the first I was aware of that engineering report 25 and that was in to December. 01581 1 And to assimilate that -- I may be -- 2 I can confirm the date, but anyways the subject of 3 that meeting was the first time that I had the 4 full technical substance of the documents, which 5 were absolutely essential to evaluating the 6 technical adequacy of the EIS. 7 MR. HANDLON: My information is that 8 you attended at the offices of MFA or KGS on 9 October 6th, that was your first meeting with 10 Mr. Smith and Mr. McNeil? 11 MR. CLIFTON: It was at that meeting, 12 if that's a good date -- we'll confirm the date, 13 but if that's the date, that's the date I was 14 given the documents. 15 MR. HANDLON: You were given a CD of 16 all the engineering reports and the appendices. 17 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 18 MR. HANDLON: And all of those 19 engineering reports are referred to in the body of 20 the EIS, correct? 21 MR. CLIFTON: Well, I have read a lot 22 of EISs, and I can tell you that it was not clear 23 to me that they were documents that were available 24 to the public. 25 MR. HANDLON: Well, whether -- they 01582 1 were available to the public and they were 2 identified in the EIS. And once you -- I 3 understand that you were asked whether you had 4 read them, and you requested copies of those 5 engineering reports and were provided them, 6 correct? 7 MR. CLIFTON: They were provided to me 8 that day. 9 MR. HANDLON: Yes, and that was in 10 October. 11 MR. CLIFTON: Whatever the date was, 12 the date was. But the point was they were not 13 distributed prior to request, I mean, highly 14 unusual circumstance. Anyways -- 15 MR. HANDLON: So they are referred to 16 in the EIS, and do you want me to identify where 17 in the EIS they are referred to? 18 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 19 MR. HANDLON: Okay. 20 MR. CLIFTON: I would appreciate that. 21 MR. HANDLON: Mr. Clifton, one of the 22 locations that the engineering reports are 23 referred to is at pages 410 to 411. The 24 introduction is at page 410, and it talked about 25 the preliminary design of the floodway expansion. 01583 1 It was separated into two project definition 2 stages. The first phase consisted of primarily 3 site investigations and baseline data acquisition 4 to determine the existing conditions. This phase 5 is known as project definition environmental 6 assessment part 1, PDA-1. 7 A second phase, PDA-2, consisted of 8 predesign of the various components of the 9 Floodway Expansion Project. Many of these 10 components interrelated to each other in the 11 predesign process. PDA-1 was separated by MFEA 12 into two work packages, and then it goes on. And 13 then at table 4.2-1, they were appendices of 14 preliminary engineering reports, and there are 15 appendices A through S. And also at page 2-17, 16 under section 2.4.1, there is a reference, 17 technical studies specific to project, and studies 18 completed by various qualified engineering firms 19 during the project predesign process, including 20 detailed project description information, forms of 21 primary technical reference documents for this 22 EIS. 23 "Separate reports completed and 24 available publicly on the completed 25 predesign work for the project are 01584 1 referenced below and detailed in 2 chapter 11." 3 And then it goes through description, a more 4 generalized description of the engineering 5 reports. 6 So I suggest to you if you read the 7 EIS, it was apparent, it would have been apparent 8 to you that there are technical engineering 9 studies that form the primary technical reference 10 documents for the EIS, correct? 11 MR. CLIFTON: I would refer you to the 12 index -- 13 MR. HANDLON: Could you answer -- 14 THE CHAIRMAN: Let him answer. 15 MR. CLIFTON: I'd refer you to the 16 index, which is normally where I assess structure 17 and the documents available. Remember, I am 18 looking at the EIS purely from the perspective of 19 groundwater. And when I look at the structure of 20 the documents that are included in the EIS, it 21 notes the appendices and the technical appendices 22 and figures and so on. Nowhere in that table of 23 contents is the presence of the engineering 24 reports and its technical appendices mentioned as 25 part of the document. It would normally be 01585 1 referenced there. 2 MR. HANDLON: Well, with respect -- 3 MR. CLIFTON: And I accept what you're 4 reading to me. If I read -- when I read through 5 that, it obviously did not dawn on me that there 6 was a separate document, outside of the 7 submissions that were here, that were available 8 for technical review. 9 I accept your submission that that was 10 provided to me in October, and I made my way 11 through the documents as required to form my 12 conclusion. So we overcame that temporary 13 deficiency. 14 MR. HANDLON: And when were you 15 retained? 16 MR. CLIFTON: Probably a month prior 17 to that. 18 MR. HANDLON: In September of 2004? 19 MR. CLIFTON: Approximately, yes. 20 MR. HANDLON: One of the slides you 21 showed near the end of your presentation, and I'm 22 having difficulty locating it right now, maybe you 23 could help me, if you recall -- and it dealt with 24 potential contamination of the groundwater 25 aquifer. And I believe you added the word 01586 1 "potential" when you were giving your evidence, 2 even though it wasn't reflected on the slide 3 itself. 4 MR. CLIFTON: I'm sorry, Mr. Handlon, 5 there was a slide that referred to potential 6 for -- 7 MR. HANDLON: Well, the slide 8 referenced contamination of groundwater aquifer, 9 and while you were reading from it you added the 10 word "potential." 11 MR. CLIFTON: On page 26 is -- 12 MR. HANDLON: And perhaps it's the 13 one, time effects. 14 MR. CLIFTON: On page 25 of the 15 handout, yes, that's where I see the time effects 16 line. 17 MR. HANDLON: Is that -- and before 18 you put it on the screen, is that where you added 19 the word "potential"? 20 MR. CLIFTON: Perhaps. It certainly 21 would be suitable in there. 22 MR. HANDLON: Pardon me? 23 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. I would have to 24 check the transcript, but I would agree potential 25 progressive contamination of the aquifer is -- 01587 1 MR. HANDLON: Right, okay. So when 2 you had the slide, progressive under time effects, 3 you had the bullet point, progressive 4 contamination of aquifer, you qualified that in 5 your evidence to say potential progressive 6 contamination of aquifer? 7 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 8 MR. HANDLON: And that accurately 9 reflects what you had in your report as well? 10 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 11 MR. HANDLON: If we could go back to 12 your report itself, and I have some questions 13 arising out of the report that I had, and that's 14 the only opportunity I had to review your 15 evidence. If there are any areas, as we go 16 through your report, where you know that there has 17 been a change in your evidence to what you 18 presented this afternoon in your slides, or if you 19 added something, then you will let me know. Is 20 that all right, Mr. Clifton? 21 MR. CLIFTON: I will try to do so, 22 yes. 23 MR. HANDLON: Okay. Now, in the 24 report itself you outlined what you reviewed in 25 the course of doing your assessment. And you 01588 1 referred to the EIS and you didn't refer 2 specifically to the engineering reports. Was that 3 just an oversight, or had you, by the time you 4 prepared your report, read over all of the 5 engineering reports? 6 MR. CLIFTON: I had read the 7 engineering report pertaining to groundwater. And 8 the term EIS that I used there is the collective 9 term, that is the statement itself plus the 10 technical appendices that I had reviewed. 11 MR. HANDLON: Yes. And the EIS, you 12 know after being pointed out, it was based on the 13 technical appendices? 14 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 15 MR. HANDLON: Now, you indicated 16 another individual at your firm -- and how many 17 individuals are there in your firm, approximately? 18 MR. CLIFTON: About 85. 19 MR. HANDLON: Okay. And who else did 20 you have involved with you in doing the review, or 21 was it yourself primarily? 22 MR. CLIFTON: It was myself assisted 23 by Dr. Hunvu as an analyst. 24 MR. HANDLON: Now, you indicated as to 25 your background and your experience, and you 01589 1 indicated that you have been involved in many 2 areas of civil engineering, and latterly for 3 approximately 30 years involved in specifically 4 the mining industry, and have done a lot of work 5 in the mining industry as it relates to 6 groundwater effects? 7 MR. CLIFTON: Yes, among other 8 industries, but certainly significant activity in 9 the mining industry. 10 MR. HANDLON: You're a geotechnical 11 engineer. Is that a specific designation that was 12 available at the time you were obtaining your 13 certifications? 14 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 15 MR. HANDLON: And now certification 16 process in Saskatchewan, does it have a specific 17 designation for hydrogeologist? 18 MR. CLIFTON: Geo-scientists were 19 added a number of years ago, and many subdivisions 20 within that. I was eligible to change my 21 registration. I elected not to. I stayed with 22 the traditional designation granted at the time of 23 my degree. 24 MR. HANDLON: Your experience with 25 groundwater in the mining industry, and I take it 01590 1 this would be primarily being involved in the 2 environmental impacts of the mining industry as it 3 relates to various environmental issues, but 4 particularly, or in part water? 5 MR. CLIFTON: In part, yes. 6 MR. HANDLON: And so other than 7 studying the effects in the mining industry on 8 water, have you done other work in respect to 9 hydrology and water effects? 10 MR. CLIFTON: It's an ongoing part of 11 virtually all projects I work on. There's been -- 12 it's a common constituent or common component of 13 project delivery. When you said I did additional 14 work on it, I'm not sure what you mean. 15 MR. HANDLON: Well, the work that 16 you've done in the area of hydrogeology has been 17 in relation to the mining industry particularly? 18 MR. CLIFTON: That's one of the 19 industries. I work in many different industries, 20 from transportation resources -- wherever our 21 clients wish to invest their money. And the 22 projects have many different configurations, but 23 very often incorporate a component of water 24 management, management of groundwater, protection 25 of groundwater, or assessing environmental 01591 1 impacts. 2 MR. HANDLON: In your report on page 3 3 you talk about the impact of the 1968 4 construction. I think there may have been a slide 5 this afternoon where you had a slide that related 6 to the 1968 construction. And one of the issues I 7 wanted to deal with was specifically on page 3, 8 and this is a factual issue as to location of 9 bedrock in the floodway channel, and your 10 suggestion that there was exposed bedrock 11 approximately 1.5 kilometres south of Spring Hill. 12 That is not in accordance with our information, 13 and I just want to identify you didn't -- the 14 source of your information is Bev Fisher who is an 15 engineer? 16 MR. CLIFTON: Yes, and other local 17 residents. 18 MR. HANDLON: Okay. You didn't go 19 back to any of the engineers or designers of the 20 original floodway or the contractors? 21 MR. CLIFTON: No. 22 MR. HANDLON: You didn't look at any 23 of the plans, or designs for the original 24 floodway, or records relating to whether there was 25 bedrock in that area? 01592 1 MR. CLIFTON: Only as presented in the 2 EIS. There is within the documents, and I can't 3 give you the reference, but within the documents 4 there is a statement that the bedrock surface 5 varies from two metres above the grade line to 6 below it. And I've been -- when I look at the 7 drawings, the location of the site, the location 8 of the area where the bedrock may be above the 9 grade of the low flow channel is not apparent. 10 MR. HANDLON: So, anyway, the source 11 of that information is from Mr. Fisher and some 12 other individuals, but you didn't go back to the 13 actual contractors who were involved in the 14 floodway? 15 MR. CLIFTON: It's third party, it's 16 information given to me by persons who observed 17 themselves. 18 MR. HANDLON: And one of the other 19 points you make in the second paragraph on page 3 20 is the location. I think that was again in your 21 evidence today that location of hydrostatic 22 pressure in the aquifer, you talk about the 23 overburden and the springs that had developed. 24 You state that the number and location of the 25 springs could not be determined from the EIS or 01593 1 from the interrogatories. 2 Were you present, I believe it was 3 yesterday or the day before, where Mr. Smith had 4 gone through a drawing from appendix M, which 5 showed the locations, or general locations of 6 areas of discharge? 7 MR. CLIFTON: Yes, I saw that. I 8 appreciated seeing it in blown-up form on the 9 screen, because for the first time I identified 10 blue arrows and was aware of where they were. But 11 the comment remains valid, that the location and 12 description characterization of them simply is not 13 presented. 14 MR. HANDLON: Sorry, is not which? 15 MR. CLIFTON: Is not adequately 16 presented. 17 MR. HANDLON: Okay. But you know that 18 there was -- certainly that you hadn't seen that 19 drawing before or you hadn't appreciated the 20 significance of it? 21 MR. CLIFTON: I had seen the drawing 22 but could not decipher it. It was unreadable in 23 the documents. 24 MR. HANDLON: So certainly at the 25 present time the general location of the springs 01594 1 is in the material? 2 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 3 MR. HANDLON: And the next paragraph 4 of your report -- just on that point, go back to 5 it. There was an IR request from the 6 municipalities, and it's IR 3A, and it was 7 specifically in relation to this particular point. 8 And if you have it there -- do you have that? 9 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 10 MR. HANDLON: And the response in the 11 second sentence, 12 "Detailed field data on floodway base 13 flow investigations during PDA-1 14 project time frame is contained in 15 appendix M, annex 5. These include 16 identification of observed seepage 17 areas with floodway station and GPS 18 location field water quantity quality 19 measurements and observations 20 periodically from May 2003 to 21 March 2004." 22 I'm curious why, if you had read this answer, why 23 you would say in your report that the information 24 wasn't contained? 25 MR. CLIFTON: Well, certainly, the 01595 1 information provided certainly does not constitute 2 a characterization. And I believe if you read 3 appendix M, annex F, it's an account by a field 4 technologist on the difficulties he was having in 5 making one measurement of stream flow in the 6 channel. So it was far from a comprehensive 7 evaluation of stream flow conditions and the 8 characterization of the springs. And I fully, I 9 accept fully the position reported by Mr. Smith, 10 that it's not simple to do. It's very difficult 11 to do, but it's also very essential. 12 MR. HANDLON: And in appendix M there 13 is text dealing with this particular matter, the 14 groundwater as a section, 8.1.2, groundwater 15 discharge areas. I'll show it to you. 16 MR. CLIFTON: That's correct, it is 17 there. But, again, it recognizes that these 18 conditions exist, but interrogatory IR 3A 19 discusses characterization, and characterization 20 is not a listing of where they are, it is, as it 21 said, geo reference so they can be located on a 22 map, the stratigraphy, the area of extent and the 23 history, the hydraulic characteristics including 24 the water table at the source, formation, 25 permeability and flow and the water quality. That 01596 1 to me would constitute a characterization. 2 MR. HANDLON: Just looking in IR 3A 3 again, it does specifically identify the drawing 4 in appendix M, showing the approximate location of 5 areas where groundwater discharge of a hundred GPM 6 or greater was noted during original construction 7 as published by Render 1970. 8 So I'm curious that this specific 9 answer did direct you to the areas of discharge, 10 and if you were directed to the areas of discharge 11 to the specific drawing, why you would say in your 12 report that the number and location of the springs 13 cannot be determined from the EIS or the 14 interrogatories? 15 MR. CLIFTON: I think, Mr. Handlon, it 16 would be useful for you to view the appendix M, 17 annex F, because that was the form of the document 18 that I had, the PDF document, which was in black 19 and white, where the font size in its reduced form 20 is so small that you can't even recognize the 21 letter of the alphabet, leave alone read the word. 22 MR. HANDLON: Did you ask Mr. Smith, 23 phone him up and ask him to blow it up or to 24 provide you with a better copy or a more detailed 25 copy? 01597 1 MR. CLIFTON: No, I did not. I was -- 2 MR. HANDLON: Thank you. 3 MR. CLIFTON: I was very proud of 4 myself that I got through all the existing 5 documents in time. 6 MR. HANDLON: So you took the time to 7 say in your report then, instead of asking him for 8 clarification on that, you rather took your time 9 to state, and I quote, 10 "The number and location of the 11 springs could not be determined from 12 the EIS or the interrogatories." 13 But that's incorrect now, you acknowledge that? 14 MR. CLIFTON: Not at all. I could not 15 determine them, until I saw them blown up, 16 magnified 10 or 15 times on the screen, I simply 17 could not identify them. And that is simply again 18 one element of the characterization information we 19 are looking for. 20 MR. HANDLON: And you acknowledge this 21 afternoon, that after seeing it on the screen and 22 having it blown up and in colour, that this 23 statement was incorrect, that it was contained in 24 the material? 25 MR. CLIFTON: That the location is 01598 1 identified, location greater than a hundred 2 gallons per minute. 3 MR. HANDLON: Right. And when I 4 pointed that out to you, you said that that 5 statement that you made in your report was not 6 correct? 7 MR. CLIFTON: The statement I made in 8 my report? 9 MR. HANDLON: Yes. 10 MR. CLIFTON: With respect to? 11 MR. HANDLON: The number and location 12 of the springs could not be determined from the 13 EIS or the interrogatories. 14 MR. CLIFTON: And I would amend that. 15 Number and location of the springs greater than a 16 hundred gallons per minute is known to the 17 proponent, yes. 18 MR. HANDLON: Yes. And in the 19 interrogatory process, you were directed to a 20 drawing that identified the number and location of 21 the springs, correct? 22 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 23 MR. HANDLON: Thank you. 24 Now, you say in the next paragraph on 25 page 3, under impact of 1968 construction, about 01599 1 the discharge of water into the floodway, and you 2 have pointed out that East St. Paul and 3 potentially other locations where the floodway did 4 cut through the sand and gravel aquifer could be, 5 water can be obtained through wells on east side 6 of that aquifer, correct, as done by East St. 7 Paul? 8 MR. CLIFTON: East St. Paul advised me 9 that they have made requests repeatedly for 10 groundwater exploration, that they have not been 11 able to get the permission to do. I believe that 12 recently that has been reversed, that they have 13 been given a permit to look at the bedrock, but 14 it's a question best asked East St. Paul. 15 MR. HANDLON: But certainly from a 16 physical ability, if water is being lost into the 17 floodway, other than the issue of getting 18 approvals, that certainly there is the ability to 19 capture that water before it does go into the 20 floodway channel? 21 MR. CLIFTON: On the east side of East 22 St. Paul, or east side of the channel? 23 MR. HANDLON: Of the channel, yes. 24 MR. CLIFTON: Yes, given the authority 25 to construct wells in that area, yes. 01600 1 MR. HANDLON: And we know from the 2 evidence that's been already given that the flow 3 of water in the carbonate aquifer does extend east 4 and there are discharge areas in the Red River 5 itself? 6 MR. CLIFTON: That there are? 7 MR. HANDLON: Discharge areas in the 8 Red River, of that aquifer? 9 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 10 MR. HANDLON: Yes. In your report, 11 section 5, expansion alternatives, and you talk 12 about expansion alternatives. And certainly we 13 know now, and you weren't aware at the time, that 14 in order to gain capacity that the floodway is 15 being widened instead of deepened, so that would 16 be appropriate for the Floodway Authority to have 17 considered that alternative and to move in the 18 direction that they have? 19 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 20 MR. HANDLON: Thank you. In your 21 report at page number 5, it deals with cumulative 22 effects assessment. And you've gone through some 23 of that. I don't intend to engage in a debate 24 with you on that subject, you have set out your 25 argument. If I could, though, other than the 01601 1 argument portion in this section, deal with a 2 comment that's in the second paragraph. You 3 state, and it's about in the middle of the 4 paragraph, 5 "The Commission will be asked to find 6 that this interpretation is not 7 reasonable. The proponent has in 8 essence a non-compliant facility." 9 And then you go on with argument -- seeking 10 approval to expand the facility without mitigating 11 undesirable impacts. 12 Now, you have stated in your evidence 13 today and have on slides non-compliant facility. 14 But in your report itself you say "has in essence" 15 and you've added the words "in essence." I take 16 it that was intentional, those were qualifying 17 words that you had added? 18 MR. CLIFTON: Yes, it is a 19 non-compliant facility. 20 MR. HANDLON: But you added the words 21 "in essence," and what I'm suggesting to you is 22 you added the words "in essence" because you 23 acknowledge that there has not been any actual 24 decision or determination made by any body or any 25 person in authority who has jurisdiction that the 01602 1 facility or the operation is in non-compliance 2 with any laws or regulations? 3 MR. CLIFTON: That is my opinion based 4 on my knowledge of the policies and regulations of 5 Manitoba. 6 MR. HANDLON: But I'm suggesting to 7 you that you added the words "in essence" because 8 you acknowledge there has not been any decision or 9 determination as to non-compliance by any body or 10 person in authority. You acknowledge that? 11 MR. CLIFTON: Not that I'm aware of. 12 MR. HANDLON: Yes. You have given 13 your opinion. 14 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 15 MR. HANDLON: And in the report itself 16 you say "non-compliant facility," yet I don't see 17 you identifying whether it's non-compliant with a 18 policy or a law or a regulation. You don't 19 provide any specifics in your report, do you? 20 MR. CLIFTON: I believe Mr. Currie 21 will speak to that in some detail. 22 MR. HANDLON: Well, I'm not -- you can 23 speak to what's in your report and what's not in 24 your report, and that's what I'm asking you now. 25 I'm not asking for a legal interpretation or a 01603 1 legal opinion. 2 MR. CLIFTON: Well, let me give you 3 the basis of my statement. 4 MR. HANDLON: Well, no. What I'm 5 saying -- I don't mean to talk over you -- is that 6 in your report you talk about a non-compliant 7 facility. But what I'm asking you, you don't 8 specify in what way it's non-compliant, whether 9 it's non-compliant with a policy or a law or a 10 regulation, you don't identify it? 11 MR. CLIFTON: That's true. I'd be 12 glad to elaborate on that, if you wish. 13 MR. HANDLON: No, I just asked you 14 that you don't identify it? 15 MR. CLIFTON: No, I don't. 16 MR. HANDLON: No. 17 THE CHAIRMAN: Would you care to 18 elaborate on that? 19 MR. CLIFTON: Certainly, Mr. Chair. 20 In my view, the existing facility is not compliant 21 with the water management policy in the Province 22 of Manitoba, it's not compliant with the 23 Sustainability Act, and that is the basis. 24 I also was personally under the 25 opinion that it was not compliant with water 01604 1 resource licensing, but I accept the information 2 brought here Monday that the opinion of the 3 province is that the facility does not need a 4 licence. That's a legal question, not one for me 5 to answer. But in my view the facility, as it 6 exists today, does not comply with conservation 7 water management policy and sustainability policy 8 of the Province of Manitoba. 9 MR. HANDLON: And I appreciate that's 10 the evidence that you gave earlier on today, but 11 before you gave that evidence today you hadn't 12 specified what it was that you were saying it was 13 non-compliant with, correct? 14 MR. CLIFTON: That's true. 15 MR. HANDLON: And I believe you 16 indicated in your evidence today, it may be on the 17 slide, you again also referred to non-compliance. 18 You're referring to non-compliance with what you 19 assessed were certain policies, and I believe that 20 you referenced specifically the Water Protection 21 Act? 22 MR. CLIFTON: I read specifically the 23 proposed provisions of the Water Protection Act, 24 but certainly in putting that statement about 25 non-compliance was focusing primarily on the 01605 1 issues regarding water conservation and water 2 management and sustainability. 3 MR. HANDLON: And in order to respond 4 to that, you haven't provided any details of that, 5 correct? How can we respond to that if you don't 6 provide details? 7 MR. CLIFTON: Well, those regulations 8 and statutes are published. The Sustainability 9 Act, I mean, I was reading the same statutes that 10 are available to you. 11 MR. HANDLON: We can read them and 12 make our own observations as well. 13 MR. CLIFTON: Absolutely. 14 MR. HANDLON: In your report at 15 section 7, you deal with groundwater management 16 expertise. Again, you refer to your source, 17 Mr. Fisher, personal communication, and you have 18 stated that there was, I believe your evidence 19 today was there was some indication that there was 20 groundwater contamination from the Red River at 21 some point in time, and you have identified 22 Mr. Fisher as being the source? 23 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. Mr. Fisher was the 24 consultant to the municipality of East St. Paul 25 for a considerable period of time, several decades 01606 1 I understand. And he was the consultant during 2 the period when contamination, as he reported to 3 me in a personal interview, he was the consultant 4 for East St. Paul at a time when contamination of 5 bedrock wells was experienced and that was the 6 impetus for the community to move to a piped water 7 system. 8 MR. HANDLON: In the course of the, 9 prior to this hearing there was -- you were aware 10 of meetings that the municipality representatives 11 had met with the Minister of Water Stewardship, 12 and there was a letter from the Minister of Water 13 Stewardship of February 11, 2005? 14 MR. CLIFTON: I am not aware of that. 15 MR. HANDLON: You are not aware of 16 that? 17 MR. CLIFTON: No. 18 MR. HANDLON: And this isn't related 19 to the Red River contamination, but in that letter 20 of February 11, 2005, the Minister of Water 21 Stewardship states, on the second page in the 22 third paragraph, and I'll read it to you. If you 23 want to see it, that's fine -- sorry on page 1 in 24 the third paragraph, and it's dealing with the 25 issue of aquifer contamination from floodway 01607 1 waters, and he states, 2 "It should be noted that in the years 3 since the existing floodway was 4 constructed, there has not been a 5 single incident of resulting well 6 contamination." 7 Were you aware of that fact? 8 MR. CLIFTON: I was not aware of that, 9 but I would be -- I would wonder at the evidence 10 on which that statement was based. 11 MR. HANDLON: This was the Minister of 12 Water Stewardship. 13 MR. CLIFTON: I can't comment on that. 14 MR. HANDLON: No. And in his letter 15 he goes on, and I'll just ask you if you were 16 aware of this, 17 "Manitoba Water Stewardship intends to 18 initiate a comprehensive study of the 19 two related aquifers in the region. 20 This work will include development of 21 a groundwater three dimensional model 22 that will determine potential effects 23 of additional water withdrawals 24 arising from new developments on 25 existing users and the sustainability 01608 1 of the aquifer system. The model will 2 also be capable of incorporating 3 regional scale water quality issues." 4 Were you aware of that commitment from the 5 Minister? 6 MR. CLIFTON: What is the date of 7 that? 8 MR. HANDLON: February 11. 9 MR. CLIFTON: No, I am not aware of 10 it. It wasn't an input into my deliberations over 11 this. 12 MR. HANDLON: I take it, given your 13 evidence, that you would welcome such a regional 14 study that is described as to the groundwater in 15 these two aquifers? 16 MR. CLIFTON: Clearly -- I mean, that 17 is certainly a technical piece of work that is 18 needed. It doesn't modify the discussion and the 19 conclusions I have reached, but it would provide a 20 framework, I presume, into which the floodway 21 project would fit. 22 MR. HANDLON: Yes, and it would 23 identify other sources of contamination, of water 24 quality considerations other than potentially the 25 floodway itself? 01609 1 MR. CLIFTON: If it is carried far 2 enough, yes. 3 MR. HANDLON: A three dimensional 4 model as described, one would anticipate that that 5 would, correct? 6 MR. CLIFTON: You have much greater in 7 three dimensional models than I. 8 MR. HANDLON: Yes, perhaps I do and 9 perhaps the Ministry of Environment in Ontario 10 does too. 11 MR. CLIFTON: I say that, I don't wish 12 to be facetious, Mr. Handlon, I say that simply 13 because they are one more tool in the tool kit, an 14 important tool, but they are not the solution. 15 They are an important tool in working towards a 16 solution. 17 MR. HANDLON: I appreciate that. 18 And on the same page of your report 19 near the end of the first paragraph of section 70 20 you talk about the Municipality of East St. Paul 21 developing wells into the bedrock aquifer. And 22 you say that although the water is somewhat lower 23 quality, and what you're referring to there is the 24 quality level of the water from the sand and 25 gravel as opposed to the carbonate aquifer, 01610 1 correct? 2 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 3 MR. HANDLON: And you state, 4 "...and perhaps more susceptible to 5 contamination from the floodway." 6 And that's your point, that is an issue of 7 potentially more susceptible to contamination, as 8 you clarified today? 9 MR. CLIFTON: That's correct, although 10 I think based on the evidence I've heard the last 11 day or two, the system there may be strongly 12 interconnected. So sensitivity may be -- there 13 may be sensitivity on both aquifers. 14 MR. HANDLON: Well, we're dealing with 15 your review of, I appreciate, the EIS, and you 16 have also heard some further evidence in the 17 course of this hearing itself. You're referring 18 to Mr. Hayes yesterday? 19 MR. CLIFTON: Yes. 20 MR. HANDLON: Now you deal with, in 21 the course of your presentation today and in your 22 report, your discussion of modeling, the numerical 23 mathematical type of modeling. And you indicate 24 that models are, 25 "A numerical model is a mathematical 01611 1 simulation of the geosphere and the 2 behaviour of the groundwater within 3 it. Models are commonly used to 4 understand how a natural groundwater 5 system works, that is to say 6